Description

This analysis provides a forecast of FORTH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-09-07 2.302233 2.435880 2.581242 2.752707 2.951666 3.178217 3.460275
2025-09-14 2.105612 2.263390 2.441518 2.661059 2.929791 3.256144 3.696994
2025-09-21 2.009307 2.185786 2.390817 2.652549 2.987650 3.418709 4.048894
2025-09-28 1.915145 2.099950 2.318842 2.605179 2.983881 3.492798 4.286364
2025-10-05 1.884632 2.086102 2.330358 2.659696 3.113838 3.761271 4.870481
2025-10-12 1.869461 2.088447 2.360123 2.737915 3.282502 4.112436 5.711973
2025-10-19 1.820331 2.044628 2.326738 2.726510 3.319189 4.263544 6.248488
2025-10-26 1.783017 2.013373 2.307052 2.731182 3.378472 4.460620 6.980581
2025-11-02 1.728171 1.956829 2.250416 2.678697 3.342673 4.483090 7.309386
2025-11-09 1.689824 1.920016 2.218213 2.658814 3.355909 4.597030 7.959814
2025-11-16 1.656511 1.888341 2.191220 2.644303 3.375646 4.726377 8.769572
2025-11-23 1.624266 1.856788 2.162802 2.625529 3.385824 4.838041 9.645368
2025-11-30 1.604144 1.841701 2.157892 2.644128 3.466068 5.126588 11.798343
2025-12-07 1.552394 1.782490 2.088844 2.560166 3.357511 4.970872 11.492107
2025-12-14 1.527938 1.759302 2.069615 2.552359 3.384841 5.137465 13.490179
2025-12-21 1.493822 1.722013 2.029009 2.508831 3.343060 5.130119 14.371621
2025-12-28 1.490252 1.726006 2.047172 2.558928 3.479866 5.609547 23.307857
2026-01-04 1.492812 1.738296 2.077578 2.630619 3.668554 6.325127 180.191378
2026-01-11 1.472219 1.717788 2.059045 2.620181 3.690932 6.551735 NaN
2026-01-18 1.456689 1.703870 2.049674 2.624460 3.744422 6.911288 NaN
2026-01-25 1.427957 1.670740 2.010656 2.576369 3.681377 6.827612 NaN
2026-02-01 1.408299 1.649964 1.989559 2.558126 3.681864 6.990706 NaN
2026-02-08 1.390782 1.631800 1.971824 2.544803 3.691944 7.200617 NaN